Recommended trades for today for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

[alroughani]

Tactical Strategy for Monday January 9th, 2006:

EUR/USD


Today's Trade Analysis: : Euro should find a ST top around 1.2170/95

And then develop a downward trends towards 1.2020/25
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Supports: 1.2100/1.2070/1.2035 Resistances: 1.2170/1.2195/1.2220
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Plan: Sell 1.2170, stop above 1.2220, for downmove toward @ least 1.2005 & lower



USD/JPY

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s should find a ST support soon at 113.25-75

If this holds then you should see an upward trend towards 115.50. Still the Key level is 113.80.
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Supports: 113.85/113.50/113.20 Resistances: 114.25/114.60 /114.95
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Plan: Buy 113.80, SL/re-enter 113.30, SL 112.80, for upmove correction to 115.50

 

[alroughani]

Technical analysis for Jan 10th 2006

: EUR/USD
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: : Euro will attempt another shot to 1.2130 & even previous high. Support @ 1.2060/40 will provide enough bids. 1.2170 will hold
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Supports: 1.2060/1.2040/1.2005 Resistances: 1.2130/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Buy 1.2065, stop below 1.2015, 4 ST upmove to 1.2130 & 1.2170. Here Sell


USD/JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s should find a ST resistance in this levels & fall toward 113.90 @ least & even could reach 113.45/20, B4 resumes upmove.
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Supports: 114.15/113.85/113.50 Resistances: 114.75/115.10 /115.45
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Plan: Sell 114.70, stop above 115.20, 4 corrective downmove toward 113.90 & 113.45


/LEFT]

 

[alroughani]

Technical Analysis for Januray 11th 2006 for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

EUR

Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: : Euro ST down correction is not over & may reach l.20’s lows, B4 another attempt higher. We need some level confirmation. 1.2040 Key ST
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Supports: 1.2060/1.2040/1.2015 Resistances: 1.2130/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Prefer to C Asia trading development. Better wait Eurpean session 2 install entry




JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s range its trapped between 114.80 & 114.20, but soon will brek either way. Prefer to see Asian development & key ST levels behave
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Supports: 114.15/113.85/113.50 Resistances: 114.75/115.10 /115.45
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Plan: Prefer to C Asia trading development. Better wait Eurpean session 2 install entry

 

[alroughani]

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Thursday January 12th, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: : Euro ST down correction is not over & will reach l.2060 support, & then lower. 1.2170/85 Res zone seems strong enough 2 contain ST rise
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Supports: 1.2110/1.2060/1.2015 Resistances: 1.2145/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Hold entry triggered late NY session & also stop/re-enter @ 1.2175 as I told you



Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Thursday January 12th, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s earlier rebound seems weak at this moment, but soon will get some strengh & continue higher toward 115.55 enroute to 116.40
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Supports: 114.15/113.85/113.50 Resistances: 114.75/115.10 /115.45
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Plan: Mantain your 114.00 entry position & also the Stop/re-enter @ 113.50.

 

[alroughani]

[Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Friday January 13th, 2006:
EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: : Euro fall as predicted. Now should find resistance below 1.2065 & continue 2 support 1.1985 once broken 1.1910 & target 1.1855
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Supports: 1.2010/1.1985/1.1945 Resistances: 1.2065/1.2100/1.2135
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Plan: Sell 1.2065, stop above 1.2115, for downmove continuation toward 1.1910/1855


Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Friday January 13th, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s more complex move is a little tricky. So we’ll try a play in order to catch the rise. Buy Either 114.20 or break of 114.95 to 115.85
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Supports: 114.20/113.85/113.50 Resistances: 114.90/115.25 /115.60
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Plan: Buy 114.20 or Break 114.95, SL 113.70/114.45, 4 upmove to 115.85 & 116.65

 

[alroughani]

​

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Monday January 16th, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: : Euro 1.2170 resistance may hold & send trend lower; but if broken we could see 1.2220/70 before down. We’ll attemp a S&R strategy
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Supports: 1.2100/1.2065/1.2020 Resistances: 1.2150/1.2165/1.2200
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Plan: Sold 1.2115, S&R 1.2175, for downmove to 1.1855 or if broken 1.2220/45-70



Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Monday January 16th, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s correction should be contained around 114 & spark an upmove that will reach 114.90 & 115.45 resistances. Hold Open position
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Supports: 114.20/113.85/113.50 Resistances: 114.90/115.25 /115.60
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Plan: Bought 114.20 Stop below 113.70, 4 upmove to 114.90 & 115.45/85 & 116.65

 

[alroughani]

​

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Tuesday January 17th, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Euro 1.2140/70 resistance may hold & send trend lower; but if broken we could C 1.2220/70 before down to 1.2050/10 & 1.1955/15
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Supports: 1.2100/1.2065/1.2020 Resistances: 1.2140/1.2170/1.2205
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Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Tuesday January 17th, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s correction should be contained around 114.65 & continue is upmove that will reach 115.45/90 resistances, enroute 116.50/95
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Supports: 114.90/114.65/114.30 Resistances: 115.45/115.70 /115.90
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Always leave a stop loss for your orders

Good luck

 

[alroughani]

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Wednesday January 18th, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Euro 1.2140/70 resistance may hold & send trend lower; but if broken we could C 1.2220/70, B4 down to 1.1955/15 enroute 1.1850
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Supports: 1.2065/1.2020/1.1980 Resistances: 1.2140/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Prefer 2 C Asian trading session, as Key level is about 2 be touched. Wait Europe



Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Wednesday January 18th, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s correction far more complex as was wider. Prefer to C Asian trading development in order to calibrate some ST pivot points.
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Supports: 115.25/114.90/114.65 Resistances: 115.90/116.30 /116.65
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[alroughani]

​

So far the market is in the expected range

I recommend to see the European close if the EUR/USD has not broken the 1.2156-75 barrier , then sell for a target of 1.2070-90

Also for the USD/JPY..if not broken the support barrier of 114.60 then buy for a target of minimum 115.4 en route towards 116.00

Watch carefully the market during the start of the US market and place your stop loss

Good luck

 

[alroughani]

This is the chart indicating the above recommended support and resistence level for USD/JPY

 

[alroughani]

[Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Thursday January 19th,

EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Euro 1.2140/70 resistance may hold & send trend lower; but if broken we could C 1.2220/70, B4 down to 1.1955/15 enroute 1.1850
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Supports: 1.2065/1.2020/1.1980 Resistances: 1.2145/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Prefer 2 C Asian trading session, as Key level is about 2 be touched. Wait Europe


JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s correction far more complex as was wider. 115.6 resistance should contain ST upmove & send trend lower toward 114.90/75 & lower
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Supports: 115.25/114.90/114.65 Resistances: 115.60/115.90 /116.30
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Plan: Sell 115.60, stop above 116.10, 4 ST downmove correction toward 114.90/75

 

[alroughani]

Support and resistence levels for EUR/USD on hourly chart

 

[alroughani]

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Friday January 20th, 2006:
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis:Euro still trapped in narrow range, but while 1.2130/55 hold STmove probably will develop downmove to 1.1940 enroute 1.1855
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Supports: 1.2070/1.2020/1.1980 Resistances: 1.2145/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Buy 1.2075, stop below 1.2025 for upmove correction toward 1.2130/55. Watch



Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Friday January 20th, 2006: USD/JPY

Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s correction more complex as was wider. 115.65 resistance should contain ST upmove & send trend lower toward 114.90/75 & lower
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Supports: 115.25/114.90/114.65 Resistances: 115.65/115.90 /116.30
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Plan: Sell 115.65, stop above 116.15, 4 ST downmove correction toward 114.90/75

 

[alroughani]

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Monday January 23rd, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis:Euro still trapped in narrow range, but while 1.2155/75 hold ST upmove, probably will develop a fall to 1.1940 enroute 1.1855
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Supports: 1.2070/1.2020/1.1980 Resistances: 1.2145/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Hold 1.2110 entry Stop/re-entry 1.2175, Stop/re-entry 1.2225, for fall to 1.2010


Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Monday January 23rd, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s moved as planned. Now should find support @ 114.80 & return up to 115.95 high; when 116.10 break will reach 117.70 & 118.55
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Supports: 115.25/114.80/114.55 Resistances: 115.65/115.90 /116.30
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Plan: Hold 115.25 entry stop/re-entry 114.75, for advance toward 115.95/116.10

 

[alroughani]

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Thursday January 26th, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Euro should find support around 1.2215/1.2195 & keep trend upward above 1.2325 Key ST level toward 1.2435 target.
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Supports: 1.2240/1.2215/1.2195 Resistances: 1.2285/1.2325/1.2360
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Plan: Prefer to skip Asia tradig to C support development. Await Europe to intall entry



Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Thursday January 26th, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s will face strong resistance around 115.90/116.3. If hood will send trend lower toward 114.85/35; but if broken will reach 1st 116.60
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Supports: 115.15/114.85/114.55 Resistances: 115.65/115.95 /116.30
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Plan: Sell 115.85, stop above 116.35, for downmove toward 114.35/10 & 113.90/75

 

[alroughani]

​

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Friday January 27th, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Euro should find support around 1.2185 & keep trend upward above 1.2325 Key ST level toward 1.2435 target. Key ST is 1.2170 level
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Supports: 1.2185/1.2150/1.2115 Resistances: 1.2235/1.2270/1.2305
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Plan: Buy 1.2185, stop below 1.2135, for upmove continuation to 1.2325 & 1.2435




USD/JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s will face strong resistance around 116.35/50.
If hold will send trend lower toward 115.10 ST target. Watch 115.90
development

Place your stop loss carefully if it strongly breaks the 116.60 level
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Supports: 115.95/115.55/115.15 Resistances: 116.35/116.60 /117.00
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Plan: Sell 116.35, stop above 116.85, 4 downmove toward 115.90 & 115.10 even low

 

[alroughani]

USD/JPY Daily chart

If you look carefully at the daily chart , you will notice the strong 1st major resistenc at 116.60 which is the 61.8 fib retracement of 113.80 and 118.20

The next major resistenc would be at around 117.40 which should hold for this week unless it closes clearly above 116.90

You should see good support initially at 115.80-90 but if this broken then the next moderate support would be 115.30
which the 38.2 fib retracement


Good luck

 

[alroughani]

USD/JPY Update

As expected the market reached the 2nd major resistence at 117.40 and held till the end of the day.

The trend is bullish now unless economic development sends it down

The expectation that it should go lower at around 116.70-80 before it continue higher to the next major resistence at 118.10

So, i would recommend for Sunday trader to either sell at 117.35 for a profit to 116.80 or buy once the 117.40 is clearly broken for a profit to 118.00

Clearly, you have to use the stop loss option as the market will be volatile at Eurpean Open as the EUR/USD is trending lower and if it closes below 1.2060 then all USD major currencies will trend higher

Good luck

 

[alroughani]

Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Monday January 30th, 2006: EUR/USD
EUR
Asian Session Expected Movement: Up

Today's Trade Analysis: Euro should find support around 1.2065/50 & consolidate with upward bias, B4 continue its MT downtrend. Now 1.2245 key level
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Supports: 1.2065/1.2050/1.2015 Resistances: 1.2135/1.2170/1.2205
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Plan: Buy 1.2065, stop below 1.2015, 4 upmove correction toward 1.2170 & 1.2205


Asia Session Open: Tactical Strategy for Monday January 30th, 2006: USD/JPY
JPY
Asian Session Expected Movement: Down

Today's Trade Analysis: Yen’s will face strong resistance around 117.50. If hold will send trend lower toward 115.90. Watch 115.90 development as Key ST level.
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Supports: 117.00/116.60/116.25 Resistances: 117.50/117.85 /118.20
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Plan: Sell 117.50, stop above 118.00, 4 downmove toward 115.90. WATCH 116.30

 

[alroughani]

Update on USD/JPY

The JPY strongly broke the first resistence at 117.40-50 and went up to 117.80 where facing a moderate resistence and the expected rise in US open market could take it to the next major resistence which is 118.40

If you are holding a sell position at this time, place your stop loss carefully above 117.85

Still the chart is in overbought position and the JPY should retrace to at least 117.20 and possibly to 116.60 where is finds good support but if broken then the bullish trend should be put on hold

I am still in favour of holding the sell position if bought at 117.70 or 117.40
but stop loss above 117.85 and then reverse to a target of 118.40

The FOMC status on Tuesday will guide us with respect to the daily trend

Good Luck