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Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage-finance companies under government control, will need to tap almost all of their $200 billion capital lifelines if home-price declines reach a 40 percent drop from the peak, their regulator said.
“In almost any stress test we’ve done they haven’t gone through the $200 billion, but certainly with those kinds of numbers they get very close,” Federal Housing Finance Agency Director James Lockhart said today in an interview on CNBC.
Lockhart, who this month announced his resignation, was responding to what was said to be the housing forecast of New York University professor Nouriel Roubini, implying a further 13 percent drop. Barclays Capital Inc. and Deutsche Bank AG analysts offered similar predictions in reports issued during the past two weeks based on projections that foreclosures will continue to roil the market.
Washington-based Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac of McLean, Virginia, have asked for $95.6 billion in federal aid since November, some of which Lockhart said last month they won’t be able to repay.
“Housing prices are starting to stabilize,” he said today. “Certainly, serious delinquencies and foreclosures are going to continue to rise for awhile.”
Home prices in 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas have dropped 32 percent since July 2006, climbing in May for the first month since that year, according to an S&P/Case-Shiller index without seasonal adjustments. An adjusted index showed further declines. Nationally, prices are down 10.9 percent since their peak, according to an FHFA index based on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac home-purchase loans.
Lockhart told CNBC that he may pursue a job at a private- equity firm after leaving the agency, among other options.