Audusd

[Money Maker]

شخصيا أفضل هذا البير (أوسي) لانه مارجنه قليل ويتحرك بهدوء ويتأثر بأسعار المعادن مثل النحاس ويتأثر بالنفط كذلك , وبالتالي تقدر تتعامل معاه.

العقد الواحد يكلف تقريبا 850 دولار

هاذي المشاركة بداية لتوجيه الشباب الى عملات ثانية يمكن يتعاملون فيها غير الميجر اللي دايما تكسر الظهر.

راح احط اخبار وتحليلات تتعلق بهالبير لاحقا بس مو بانتظام واعذروني بالشغله.

وشكرا

 

[Money Maker]

1:03 AM GMT
Trade Idea: AUDUSD, short-term, we work to buy break above 0.8601 (stop bid), if done stop loss @ 0.8578 (stop offer), target @ 0.8643. (Asia desk)

 

[Money Maker]

1:05 AM
Heads up: Australia’s data out at 01:30 GMT, Retail Sales expected at 0.7% and prior at 0.1% and Building Approval (MoM/YoY) with expected at -1.4%/na and prior at 8.1%/4.5%.

هذا الخبر كان له اثر سلبي على العمله

وشكرا

 

[Money Maker]

Economic calender for AUDUSD 4 july (GMT)
1:30 AM Trade Balance MAY - - - -
1:30 AM Exports MAY - - - -
1:30 AM Imports MAY - - - -

التريد بالانس له اثر على العمله ممكن تسوي منه 10 نقاط على السريع

 

[Money Maker]

Morning Adviser Asia 7/4/2007 1:03:00 AM

USD: Little change in pre-holiday trading Commodity Bloc: RBA result due JPY: More carry warnings, intervention unlikely EUR, CHF: Swiss CPI in line NOK: Weaker PMI survey GBP: Stronger construction PMI BRL: Trade data buoys the real MXN: S&P news supports the currency ZAR: Keep an eye out for the SARB

Commodity Bloc
The RBA rate announcement is due early Wednesday in Australia (2330 GMT Tuesday) but markets are pricing just about zero chance of a hike and only one forecaster on the Bloomberg poll is calling for one. The RBA issues no statement when rates are left unchanged. In data released Tuesday, retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.1% m/m against market expectations of a 0.7% gain, while building approvals declined 5.6% versus consensus of -1.4%. This has knocked about 6-7bp off RBA expectations, but the market still sees a bit less than 50% odds of an August hike and is fully pricing a tightening by year-end. AUDUSD moved lower Tuesday and AUDNZD has fallen to new lows around 1.0921, but with the carry environment stable, AUDUSD and AUDJPY downside are likely to be limited near-term. Moreover, with the AUD benefiting from equity portfolio flows and a healthy M&A pipeline, we continue to favour AUD over NZD to play a growth or pro-carry view going forward. In Canada, the jobs report Friday will be a key focus for the market. We are looking for an on-consensus report, but as recent price action has shown, the CAD is sensitive to downside surprises given how much tightening is priced in for the currency. We continue to see upside risk for USDCAD. Ahead Wednesday, in addition to the RBA rate announcement at 2330 GMT, the May trade balance figure will be released at 130 GMT.

Technical FX
AUDUSD BULLISH Correction Holds Above 0.8333 - Bull Momentum Returns.​

 

[Money Maker]

1:31 AM GMT
Economic release (Australia May), Australia’s Trade Balance out at -807M vs -1200M expected.

1:34 AM GMT
update: AUDUSD hits 0.8569 high after the Australia's trade deficit data come out smaller than expected.

مثل ما قلتلكم 10 نقاط بلحظه

 

[شايب 2000]

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله

اشكرك على هذا الزوج الجميل وهذا بصراحة من الازواج المريحة

اتوقع اخي الكريم ان هذا الزوج سوف يتوجه الى اهداف مستقبليه الى وهي :

النقطة الاولى :8580

في حالة الكسر فالنقطة الثانيه هي:8590 وهذه اكبر مقاومة له

اما في حالة الارتداد منها نزول الى النقطة 8540

اما في حالة الكسر لهذه المقاومة العنيفه فسوف يكمل طلوعه الى 8640

اتمنى من الله ان اكون قد وفقت في تحديد الاهداف المستقبليه

تقبل تحياتي

 

[Money Maker]

July 04, 2007 2:18:21 PM GMT

In Australia, the next focus is jobs figures next week before the all-important Q2 CPI later in July.


The AUD regained some strength today after data showed a narrowing of the July trade deficit to A$0.8Bn. The market was looking for a widening of the deficit to A$1.2Bn. The details were very healthy - a 3.0% rise in exports and a 2.0% rise in imports. The trade deficit has now improved for three consecutive months and the underlying trend has been improving for more than a year.

The AUD kicked up to 0.8569 immediately following the release, and has continued to rally throughout Asian trade to a high of 0.8586. AUD cross rates moved higher back towards yesterday’s pre-retail-sales levels.

The RBA left interest rates at 6.25%, in-line with market expectations, generating little reaction in the AUD.​

 

[Money Maker]

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله

اشكرك على هذا الزوج الجميل وهذا بصراحة من الازواج المريحة

اتوقع اخي الكريم ان هذا الزوج سوف يتوجه الى اهداف مستقبليه الى وهي :

النقطة الاولى :8580

في حالة الكسر فالنقطة الثانيه هي:8590 وهذه اكبر مقاومة له

اما في حالة الارتداد منها نزول الى النقطة 8540

اما في حالة الكسر لهذه المقاومة العنيفه فسوف يكمل طلوعه الى 8640

اتمنى من الله ان اكون قد وفقت في تحديد الاهداف المستقبليه

تقبل تحياتي

هذا السيناريو الصحيح ومشكور

 

[Money Maker]

July 05, 2007 2:34:42 AM GMT

AUDUSD BULLISH Underlying Bull Trend Intact, 0.8700 Next Resistance

Commodity Bloc
The RBA kept rates on hold yesterday, as expected by UBS and consensus. No statement was released as is customary when rates are left unchanged. Australian trade balance narrowed slightly to AUD $807 mln, better than consensus of AUD 1.2 bln, reflecting stronger export growth and slowing imports, consistent with cooling domestic demand. Following retail sales numbers on Tuesday, about 6-7bp have been knocked off RBA expectations, but the market still sees a bit less than 50% odds of an August hike and is fully pricing a tightening by year-end. Our economists note that manufacturing export growth may slow up ahead due to the strong AUD, and along with softer core imports, the result is consistent with expectations that Q2 growth will moderate relative to Q1's pace, though a rebound is likely in H2 2007.

AUDUSD moved lower Tuesday and AUDNZD has fallen to new lows around 1.0921. The market is probably still long AUDNZD, and moreover the political environment in New Zealand is such that reform on taxation treatment of the housing market unfortunately seems unlikely in the near-term. As such, there could be more downside from AUDNZD, perhaps down to the 1.07 region. Next week's NZ retail sales report will be key.​