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Analysis Summary
NTO is undervalued compared to its Price of $3.02 per share, has about average safety, and is currently rated a Buy.
In-Depth Analysis
Business: Northern Orion, (NTO) Acquires, explores and develops copper, gold, silver and molybdenum projects in Latin America, mainly in Argentina and Cuba. Principal project is the Agua Rica copper project in the Catamarca Province, Argentina.
Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. NTO has a current Value of $5.82 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $3.02 per share. RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. NTO has an RV of 1.62, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.
RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. NTO has an RS rating of 0.95, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. .
RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. NTO has a Relative Timing rating of 1.28, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. NTO has a VST rating of 1.29, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation.
CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. NTO has a CI rating of 1.63, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. .
GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. NTO has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 36.00%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. NTO has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.
Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. NTO has a Stop of $2.77 per share. This is $0.25 below NTO's current closing Price.
EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. NTO has a forecasted EPS of $0.25 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.
P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. NTO has a P/E of 12.08. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 31.48. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.
EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. NTO has an EY of 8.34 percent. This is above the current average of 3.18% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).
GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. NTO has a GPE rating of 3.01. High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 5.43%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.29. Therefore, NTO may be considered to be undervalued.
DIV (Dividend): VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. NTO does not pay a dividend.
DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. NTO does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Yield rating. . DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.
DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. NTO does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Safety rating . Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.
DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. NTO does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Growth rating .
YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DIV, DY and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. NTO does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a YSG rating . Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.
Open: NTO opened trading at a price of $3.06 per share on 3/1/2005.
High: NTO traded at a High price of $3.06 per share on 3/1/2005.
Low: NTO traded at a Low price of $2.99 per share on 3/1/2005
Close: NTO closed trading at price $3.02 per share on 3/1/2005. (Close is also called Price in the VectorVest system)
Range: Range reflects the difference between the High and Low prices for the day. NTO traded with a range of $0.07 per share on 3/1/2005.
$Change: NTO closed down 0.04 from the prior day's closing Price.
%PRC: NTO's Price changed -1.31% from the prior day's closing price.
Volume: NTO traded 1,227,700 shares on 3/1/2005.
AvgVol: AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. NTO has an AvgVol of 1,074,300 shares traded per day.
%Vol: %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100. NTO had a %Vol of 14.28% on 3/1/2005
Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. NTO has a Sales Growth of 14.00% per year. This is good. Sales Growth is updated each week for every stock. It is often useful to compare Sales Growth to Earnings Growth to gain an insight into a company's operations.
Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): NTO has a P/S of 0.00. This ratio is also used as a measure of valuation. Here, too, it is useful when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.
Shares: NTO has 110,000,000.00 shares of stock outstanding.
Market Capitalization: NTO has a Market Capitalization of $334,000,000.00. Market Capitalization is calculated by multiplying price times shares outstanding.
Industry Group: NTO has been assigned to the Mining (Other) Industry Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.
Business Sector: NTO has been assigned to the Mining Business Sector. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.